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MIDDLE EAST ESCALATION: EARLY MARKET IMPACT & PORTFOLIO IMPLICATIONS

MIDDLE EAST ESCALATION: EARLY MARKET IMPACT & PORTFOLIO IMPLICATIONS

Following the weekend escalation involving US – Israeli strikes on Iran and Iran’s subsequent response, markets have – so far – reacted in a relatively orderly way. The immediate transmission mechanism is energy, because the Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil and gas flows.

GETTING MY HEAD AROUND AI: WHY MARKETS ARE EXCITED — AND NERVOUS

GETTING MY HEAD AROUND AI: WHY MARKETS ARE EXCITED — AND NERVOUS

Artificial Intelligence has moved from novelty to necessity in what feels like months. Markets have reacted accordingly. Some technology shares have surged on the promise of AI, while others have fallen sharply on fears that AI could undermine existing business models. Like many investors, I’ve been trying to get my head around what is actually happening — and why the stakes suddenly feel so high.

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MIDDLE EAST ESCALATION: EARLY MARKET IMPACT & PORTFOLIO IMPLICATIONS

MIDDLE EAST ESCALATION: EARLY MARKET IMPACT & PORTFOLIO IMPLICATIONS

Following the weekend escalation involving US – Israeli strikes on Iran and Iran’s subsequent response, markets have – so far – reacted in a relatively orderly way. The immediate transmission mechanism is energy, because the Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil and gas flows.

GETTING MY HEAD AROUND AI: WHY MARKETS ARE EXCITED — AND NERVOUS

GETTING MY HEAD AROUND AI: WHY MARKETS ARE EXCITED — AND NERVOUS

Artificial Intelligence has moved from novelty to necessity in what feels like months. Markets have reacted accordingly. Some technology shares have surged on the promise of AI, while others have fallen sharply on fears that AI could undermine existing business models. Like many investors, I’ve been trying to get my head around what is actually happening — and why the stakes suddenly feel so high.

UK TAX: THE PAIN DEFERRED – WHY THE REAL IMPACT COMES LATER

UK TAX: THE PAIN DEFERRED – WHY THE REAL IMPACT COMES LATER

Financial markets were primed for sharp, immediate tax rises. Commentators warned of fiscal tightening. Yet when the Chancellor delivered the measures, the initial reaction was muted. Markets barely moved. The plaster came off—and it didn’t hurt.

THOUGHTS ON THE IMPACT OF THE BUDGET

THOUGHTS ON THE IMPACT OF THE BUDGET

In the weeks leading up to the UK Budget, the industry has struggled to read the signs from the Treasury as to what was most likely to happen in the Autumn Statement and what new taxes were to be introduced – we just knew that tax would rise.

IS IT ALL DOOM & GLOOM?

IS IT ALL DOOM & GLOOM?

If you watch or read the news at the moment, it’s easy to think the world is falling apart. Political tensions, elections, and talk of global conflict seem to dominate every headline. It can all feel a bit bleak – and when you’re also hearing that some professional investors are ‘turning cautious,’ it’s natural to wonder whether it’s time to be worried. Yet, strangely, the investment markets don’t appear to agree with the headlines.

THE GROWING PROBLEM OF CAPITAL GAINS TAX & INDIVIDUAL SAVINGS ACCOUNTS

THE GROWING PROBLEM OF CAPITAL GAINS TAX & INDIVIDUAL SAVINGS ACCOUNTS

Over the past few years, one of the quietest but most significant shifts in personal taxation has been the steady tightening of Capital Gains Tax (CGT) allowances. What was once a generous £12,300 annual exemption has been reduced to just £3,000 for the 2024/25 tax year – and there’s every chance that future Budgets or the forthcoming Autumn Statement could push rates higher still.

AUTUMN STATEMENT – SPENDING REVIEW

AUTUMN STATEMENT – SPENDING REVIEW

With a yawning £41 billion hole opening up in Britain’s books, this autumn’s Budget is shaping up to be less about giveaways and more about plug holes.

THE FUTURE OF FOSSIL FUELS & THE IMPACT OF CONFLICT

THE FUTURE OF FOSSIL FUELS & THE IMPACT OF CONFLICT

We are sometimes fixated on ideas that only reflect our own individual perspective and typically we can be UK or Europe or US centric. We are all likely to be affected by the potential interruption to the movement of Oil from the Middle East to the rest of the globe but interestingly we are not the only ones!

ISRAEL-IRAN TENSIONS FLARE – FIRST THOUGHTS

ISRAEL-IRAN TENSIONS FLARE – FIRST THOUGHTS

On 13 June 2025, Israel launched a pre-emptive military strike on Iran, codenamed “Operation Rising Lion”. Israel’s reasoning for these latest strikes centred on preventing Iran from achieving nuclear weapon capability, which Israel claimed was only days away.

TARIFFS – INFLATIONARY OR NOT?

TARIFFS – INFLATIONARY OR NOT?

Tariffs is a hot topic at the moment and may remain so for some time. The big question is what will the effects of tariffs be…inflation, retaliation, volatility, job losses and disinflation.

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